2026 Ballon d’Or: Rankings Of Players To Finish In Top 10 Revealed

The rankings of players with the highest chances of finishing in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d’Or have been revealed, with Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappe leading the predictions.

According to Kalshi, the England and Bayern Munich striker, Yamal of Barcelona and Real Madrid forward Mbappe each have a 99% chance of finishing in the top 10.

Barcelona midfielder Rodri follows with a 94% chance, while Paris Saint-Germain’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has a 93% probability. Lionel Messi, who plays for Inter Miami, is next with 92%.

Other players featuring prominently include Michael Olise at 86%, current Ballon d’Or holder Ousmane Dembele at 83% and Manchester City striker Erling Haaland at 72%.

Fabián Ruiz has a 66% chance of making the top 10, while Jude Bellingham stands at 38%. Barcelona defender Pau Cubarsi has a 31% chance, followed by Arsenal midfielder Declan Rice at 17%.

The remaining players on the list are Joao Neves at 16%, Achraf Hakimi at 11% and Marc Cucurella at 10%. These percentages represent predicted chances, not confirmed final rankings.

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The 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is scheduled to be announced on October 26 in London, United Kingdom, with Dembele entering the ceremony as the reigning holder of the prestigious individual award.