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Appraising Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Through Bagudu’s Lens

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By Afolabi Adetutu

In the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the Renewed Hope Agenda is fast evolving from a mere campaign slogan to a policy thrust that’s redefining the very architecture of governance, and largely reflected in Nigeria’s budgetary planning and execution. At the heart of this transformation is Senator Abubakar Atiku Bagudu—the Honourable Minister of Budget and National Planning; a silent catalyst who embodies and institutionalises the economic philosophy of the president’s agenda, silent works and accurate execution of budget planning with a profound sense of purpose.

Senator Bagudu not only understood the philosophical and fiscal underpinnings of the Tinubu administration, but he has translated it and made it evident in Nigeria’s progressive economy. The Renewed Hope Agenda is not just a poetic permutation of optimism; it is a bold, structured promise of recalibrating Nigeria’s economy, restoring institutional dignity, reengineering the public sector, and revitalising citizen confidence in the federal government.

Bagudu, with his extraordinary blend of fiscal discipline, economic realism, and a technocratic touch, is serving as the architect and conductor of the nation’s budgetary symphony. The inheritance of President Tinubu’s administration in May 2023 was a faltering economy that was encumbered by rising inflation, debt overhang, low public trust, and a chaotic fiscal culture, reflecting the grim realities of the time. Yet, in less than two years, there has been a perceptible change in trajectory and a strong affirmation of rejuvenating hope.

Appointing a former governor, senator, and erudite economist, in the person of Senator Atiku Bagudu, was not just for political balancing; it was a calculated move and a strategic economic reconfiguration by President Tinubu, who is a master strategist himself. Under Bagudu’s leadership, the Ministry of Budget and National Planning has become a bedrock of renewed economic consciousness. His mantra was drawn from President Tinubu’s ideology, making sure that he moves budgeting from a yearly ritual of numbers to a roadmap for national rebirth.

Budgeting, in the hands of Senator Bagudu, is no longer just an inert tabulation of numbers but a moral and developmental instrument used in driving the course of a nation. The 2024 national budget, which was themed “Budget of Renewed Hope” reflected a transformative ambition that called for development. Witnessing a staggering N28.7 trillion in expenditure and a strategic allocation to sectors such as health, defence, education, and infrastructure, it is evident that national priorities are being deliberately aligned with human development indices.

Senator Bagudu ensures that the budgetary process is both inclusive and transparent. For the first time in a long while, budget town halls were held across geo-political zones, just to ensure that the budget reflects the aspirations of a diverse federation. Bagudu worked tenaciously with the National Assembly Committees and the Budget Office of the Federation in ensuring that the medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF) became realistic and development-focused.

Moreover, it is also on record that under his watch, capital expenditure now takes centre stage, with the budget earmarked for capital projects at over 37%. This is a commendable deviation from past regimes where recurrent spending choked national ambitions, thereby placing infrastructure as a pedestal on which economic expansion is anchored.

One profound critical element of Bagudu’s impact that’s less celebrated is how well he has recalibrated fiscal discipline. It is no surprise that the Nigerian budget system we used to know has suffered from underperformance, leakages, and a notorious culture of “budget paddings” and abandoned projects for decades. His reformative actions within the ministry have led to the adoption of digital budget tracking systems, which have expanded the capabilities of the Government Integrated Financial Management Information System (GIFMIS) and harmonised budget reporting templates across ministries, departments, and agencies (MDAs).

However, Bagudu’s insistence on budget credibility has geared up the push for a more stringent implementation of the Public Finance Management Act. In his quiet but firm demeanour, he ensured that MDAs strongly stick to expenditure and project implementation timelines. His persistence in wielding the tool of compliance has made the budget be seen as a legally binding covenant with people, rather than being perceived as an elastic instrument to be stretched and manipulated at will.

It is to Bagudu’s credit that the government is not merely investing in brick-and-mortar schools and hospitals but is deliberately enhancing quality and access. With over N1.3 trillion allocated to education and more than N1.2 trillion to healthcare in the 2024 budget, the narrative of social investments has shifted to strategic development. His work with the Ministries of Education and Health to institutionalise performance-based budgeting has ensured that every spending directly impacts measurable outcomes, such as maternal mortality, availability of materials for easy learning, school enrollment rates, and life expectancy.

Similarly, it has been discovered that the emphasis on job creation and youth empowerment under the Renewed Hope Job Creation initiative is intricately linked to Bagudu’s planning and execution. The National Social Investment Programme (NSIP) reforms, the conditional cash transfer schemes, and the disbursements of microcredit to small-scale entrepreneurs are all being embedded into the budgetary process under his supervision. For a man who isn’t attracted to fanfare or court publicity, Bagudu’s touch has been greatly impactful in these initiatives.

President Tinubu’s administration has never pretended about its desire to wean Nigeria off the addiction to oil revenues. And in this regard, the role of the Ministry of Budget and National Planning becomes even more pivotal. Senator Bagudu’s budgetary strategy emphasises diversification, which is not merely an economic necessity, but as a patriotic obligation. This redirection of budgetary attention to sectors with latent comparative advantage is evident that Bagudu share an aligned view with Mr President’s agenda.

Perhaps what makes Senator Bagudu’s contributions even more compelling is how well he has been able to balance political wisdom with technocratic vigour. In his words, “I don’t view budgeting as an academic exercise but as a living, breathing instrument of socio-economic transformation.” Of a truth, this philosophy of his has prudently shaped Nigeria’s national outlook.

In Cabinet meetings and inter-ministerial dialogues, he champions a strong but quiet voice of reasoning, one which advocates for prudent borrowing, counselling against populism, and resists expenditure wastage. Unlike many who wield power with a flourish and to oppress, Senator Bagudu wears his influence like a devoted monk wears his robe: firm, calm, and purposeful.

The Renewed Hope Agenda is not merely rhetoric under his leadership in the budgetary ministry; it is producing results in social welfare, infrastructure renewal, economic stabilisation, and fiscal rebalancing. Budget credibility is gaining traction. Investor confidence is inching upward. And most importantly, the people are beginning to see and feel the dividends of planning.

In Senator Atiku Bagudu, we see a man who not only believes in Nigeria but is helping to build the scaffolding for its future prosperity. His personality reminds us that not all catalysts are noisy, not all reformers are water banners, and not all patriots are flamboyant. They work modestly, methodically, and masterfully.

Adetutu writes from Abuja

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Opinion

No More Pipeline Vandalism in The Niger Delta, But…

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APPRAISING MILITARY RESOLVE AND THE PATH TO SUSTAINABLE OIL SECURITY

By Aaron Mike Odeh

On a recent media assessment visit by the Director, Defence Media Operations, Major General Michael E Onoja on the 20 January 2026, the General Officer Commanding (GOC), 6 Division of the Nigerian Army and Commander Land Component Operation DELTA SAFE, Major General Emmanuel Emeka, stated that there will be “no more pipeline vandalism in the Niger Delta” indicating a strong affirmation of military resolve and institutional confidence in the ongoing operations within Nigeria’s most economically strategic region.
Far from being a casual statement, the pronouncement reflects the operational posture, command clarity, and renewed determination of the Nigerian Armed Forces (AFN) under the leadership of General Olufemi Oluyede. It signals a clear message: the era of unchecked sabotage of national economic assets is being decisively confronted.

CONTEXTUALISING THE GOC’S DECLARATION
Statements of this magnitude from a serving GOC carry both symbolic and operational weight. They are rooted in firsthand command experience, intelligence assessments, and measurable gains on the ground. In this regard, Major General Emmanuel Emeka’s assertion should be understood as a projection of confidence derived from sustained military engagement, improved coordination with sister security agencies, and enhanced operational discipline within the 6 Division’s area of responsibility.
The Niger Delta has long posed complex security challenges due to its difficult terrain, extensive pipeline networks, and the activities of organised criminal syndicates. Against this backdrop, the GOC’s declaration underscores a belief that the Nigerian Armed Forces has reached a level of operational advantage sufficient to deter, disrupt, and dismantle pipeline vandalism networks.
OPERATIONAL GAINS AND MILITARY PROFESSIONALISM
Under Major General Emmanuel Emeka’s command, the 6 Division has intensified patrols, improved intelligence-led operations, and sustained pressure on illegal refining camps and crude oil theft routes. These efforts align with the Federal Government’s strategic objective of securing oil infrastructure as a matter of national economic security.
The GOC’s statement therefore reflects not mere optimism, but a professional assessment of the division’s growing capacity to dominate the operational environment. It also reinforces the Nigerian Armed Forces constitutional role as a stabilising force, committed to safeguarding national assets in support of economic recovery and investor confidence.

THE “BUT”: BEYOND KINETIC SUCCESS
While commending the resolve and achievements of the 6 Division, it is equally important to situate the declaration within a broader national framework. The “but” in the statement should not be interpreted as doubt or contradiction; rather, it represents an acknowledgment of the multifaceted nature of pipeline security in the Niger Delta.
Pipeline vandalism has historically been sustained not only by criminal intent, but also by socioeconomic pressures, environmental degradation, and the absence of alternative livelihoods in some host communities. Military success, while indispensable, achieves greater durability when complemented by effective civil governance, economic inclusion, and community trust-building.

COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT AS A FORCE MULTIPLIER
One of the strengths of recent military operations in the Niger Delta has been improved civil-military relations. The success of the Armed Forces is closely tied to cooperation from local communities, traditional institutions, and credible stakeholders.
Sustainable pipeline security is most effective when host communities become partners in protection rather than passive observers. The GOC’s declaration implicitly places responsibility on all stakeholders—government agencies, oil companies, community leaders, and youths—to consolidate the gains made by the Armed Forces.

INSTITUTIONAL SYNERGY AND NATIONAL RESPONSIBILITY
The efforts of the 6 Division do not exist in isolation. They form part of a wider national security ecosystem involving regulatory agencies, intelligence services, law enforcement bodies, and policy institutions. The GOC’s confidence should therefore inspire complementary actions across these sectors.
Oil companies must uphold environmental standards and transparent community engagement. Regulatory bodies must enforce accountability. Development agencies must deliver visible dividends of peace. These non-military actions reinforce the security umbrella provided by the Nigerian Armed Forces.

LEADERSHIP AND STRATEGIC MESSAGING
Major General Emmanuel Emeka’s statement also serves as strategic communication—boosting troop morale, reassuring investors, and reinforcing public confidence in the Armed Forces of Nigeria. Such leadership messaging is essential in shaping national narratives around security, discipline, and state authority.
By articulating a firm stance against pipeline vandalism, the GOC is not only commanding troops, but shaping expectations and setting benchmarks for operational success.

CONCLUSION
The declaration that there will be “no more pipeline vandalism in the Niger Delta” should be seen as a reflection of strengthened military capacity, improved leadership focus, and renewed institutional confidence under Major General Emmanuel Emeka, GOC 6 Division of the Armed Forces.
The Nigerian Armed Forces has demonstrated readiness to secure critical national assets. The task ahead is to consolidate these gains through sustained operations, inter-agency synergy, and socio-economic interventions that address underlying vulnerabilities.
In this context, the GOC’s statement stands as both an assurance and a call to collective national responsibility—one that deserves commendation, support, and strategic follow-through.

Aaron Mike Odeh, a Public Affairs Analyst Media Consultant and Community Development Advocator wrote from Post Army Housing Estate Kurudu Abuja

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Opinion

Appraising NUPRC’s New Tempo

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By Grace Ameh

As a woman who has spent years admiring the quiet strength of sisters carving paths in Nigeria’s demanding energy sector, my heart swelled with genuine joy the moment Chief Mrs. Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan’s appointment as Commission Chief Executive of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission was announced.

Here stands a remarkable daughter of the Niger Delta, graceful yet fiercely determined, becoming the first woman to lead our nation’s upstream regulator. Her rise feels deeply personal, like watching a beloved sister finally claim the spotlight she has long deserved.  

The NUPRC, as a young agency born from the transformative Petroleum Industry Act of 2021, has shouldered enormous responsibilities in a complex and evolving landscape—navigating fluctuating production levels amid global energy shifts, addressing delays in data dissemination that can affect investor planning, tackling the persistent menace of crude oil theft that impacts national revenue, and working to enhance transparency in licensing rounds and asset management for greater stakeholder confidence.

This institution emerged with bold ambitions to modernise regulation, attract investment, and optimise Nigeria’s hydrocarbon resources, yet it has operated in an environment marked by inherited challenges and the need for continuous adaptation to deliver on its mandate.

Then, in December 2025, President Bola Tinubu nominated Chief Mrs Eyesan as the first woman to lead NUPRC, a move swiftly confirmed by the Senate.

My spirit lifted immediately. Chief Eyesan’s journey inspires every woman dreaming big in this field. She holds a Bachelor of Education in Economics from the prestigious University of Benin, graduating in 1986 with a solid foundation in economic theory, market analysis, and project evaluation—skills that would prove invaluable in the complex world of energy finance and strategy.

Her academic grounding equipped her to navigate large-scale investments and regulatory frameworks with precision. Early in her career, she honed her financial acumen in banking, serving as Branch Manager at People’s Bank of Nigeria and later as Treasury Officer at Gulf Bank, before joining NNPC in 1992.

Over nearly 33 years, she rose steadily through roles in planning, procurement, corporate strategy, and sustainability, culminating as Executive Vice President, Upstream, until her retirement in November 2024. In that position, she oversaw strategic management of Nigeria’s upstream operations, led sustainability initiatives, strengthened financial discipline, and guided critical reforms aligned with the PIA.

Since assuming office, Chief Eyesan has brought a refreshing wave of purpose and collaboration to NUPRC. Her patriotic commitment shines brightly as she aligns the Commission’s work with President Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda, emphasising increased crude oil production to enhance energy security and revenue, accelerated gas monetisation to advance the Decade of Gas vision, and robust transparency measures to rebuild investor trust.

I admire her focus on digitisation; she is thoughtfully integrating digital tools to improve operational efficiency, accountability, and ease of business, cutting through layers of bureaucracy that once slowed progress. Her leadership style feels deeply relatable—inclusive and engaging. With an open-door policy and regular town halls, she encourages staff input while forging stronger ties with stakeholders, labour unions, and professional bodies.

She champions environmentally sustainable practices, ensuring growth does not come at the cost of our land and waters. Her strategic vision unfolds organically: boosting crude reserves and output for economic stability, scaling gas utilisation for power generation and exports, fortifying regulations to attract long-term investments, nurturing technical expertise through partnerships and capacity building, and embedding digitisation hand-in-hand with transparency to foster dynamic, confidence-inspiring growth.

In these early weeks of January 2026, tangible steps are emerging. She has advanced the 2025 licensing round, scheduling a key pre-bid conference for January 14 in Lagos to draw fresh capital into exploration and development. Partnerships, such as deepened synergy with the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, highlight her collaborative spirit.

What touches me profoundly is how Chief Eyesan views challenges as opportunities. She inherited an agency needing revitalisation but approaches it with grace, strategy, and unyielding diligence—that workaholic patriotism we so admire in trailblazing women. Her experience positions her uniquely to resolve legacy issues, unlock stranded assets, and position NUPRC as Africa’s premier regulator.

Reflecting on this new era, sisterly pride overwhelms me. Chief Mrs. Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan is truly an Amazon—resilient, visionary, and devoted to Nigeria’s progress. In her capable hands, the upstream sector is not just recovering; it is poised to soar, delivering sustainable wealth for generations.

Dear sister, you embody the hope we renew daily. The light of your leadership illuminates our path forward, proving once again that when a woman of substance rises, the nation rises with her.

*Ameh an Oil and gas expert writes from Kaduna.

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Opinion

FIFA World Cup: Counting the costs of Super Eagles missed opportunities

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By Victor Okoye

As the football world prepares for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, Nigeria is facing the prospect of missing the global showpiece for the eighth time since its inception in 1930, a development that has drawn concern from football stakeholders and sports administrators in the country.

The Super Eagles, who made their World Cup debut at USA 1994, have qualified for the finals six times but failed to reach the tournament on seven previous occasions.

Should Nigeria fail to qualify for the 2026 edition, it would mark the eight miss and a second consecutive absence, further highlighting the rising cost of non-participation in an era of unprecedented financial rewards.

Historically, missing the World Cup was largely a sporting setback. Financial incentives were modest in earlier tournaments.

In USA 1994, FIFA’s total prize money stood at about 62 million dollars, with champions Brazil earning roughly four million dollars.

France 1998 offered about 131 million dollars in total prize money, while winners received around six million dollars.

The figures rose steadily to 300 million dollars at Brazil 2014 and 440 million dollars at Russia 2018 and Qatar 2022.

However, FIFA’s recent review has significantly raised the stakes.

The FIFA Council has approved a record 727 million dollars financial package for the 2026 World Cup, to be co-hosted by the United States, Canada and Mexico.

At an estimated exchange rate of 1,500 naira to the dollar, the total sum translates to about 1.09 trillion naira.

Of this amount, 655 million dollars (approximately 982.5 billion naira) will be shared as prize money among the 48 participating teams.

Champions will earn 50 million dollars, runners-up 33 million dollars, third place 29 million dollars and fourth place 27 million dollars.

Teams finishing between fifth and eighth will receive 19 million dollars, ninth to 16th are to receive 15 million dollars, 17th to 32nd will pocket 11 million dollars, while teams ranked 33rd to 48th will earn nine million dollars.

Each qualified nation will also receive 1.5 million dollars as preparation funds.

This guarantees every participating team a minimum of 10.5 million dollars — about 15.75 billion naira — before the tournament begins.

Nigeria’s 2026 qualification campaign ended in disappointment after the Super Eagles finished second behind South Africa in their group and lost the African playoff final to the Democratic Republic of Congo (DR Congo) on penalties.

To date, no public official report has broken down the total operational costs or expenditure to prosecute the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign (travel, allowances, camps, logistics) but there are concerns and scrutiny over Nigeria Football Federation (NFF) finances.

The scrutiny includes how funds received from FIFA and CAF have been used over the years following the House of Representatives move to probe more than 25 million dollars in FIFA/CAF grants given to the NFF between 2015 and 2025, citing accountability questions.

However, the NFF has petitioned FIFA over alleged player-eligibility breaches by DR Congo, a move that has reopened debate within the football community.

Reacting to the situation, former Super Eagles captain and 1994 AFCON winner, Mutiu Adepoju, described the possibility of another World Cup absence as “a huge setback”.

“Missing one World Cup is painful, but missing two in a row is unacceptable for a country like Nigeria. Beyond pride, the financial loss is enormous and affects football development at all levels,” Adepoju said.

Former NFF Technical Director, Austin Eguavoen, said qualification had become more critical than ever due to the new prize structure.

“In the past, the World Cup was more about exposure. Now, the money involved can change the entire football ecosystem. Missing out means missing an opportunity to invest in grassroots and infrastructure,” Eguavoen said.

Chairman of the Nigeria Premier Football League (NPFL), Gbenga Elegbeleye, said the impact would also be felt in the domestic league.

“When the national team is at the World Cup, it attracts attention to our league and players. Absence reduces visibility, sponsorship interest and confidence in the system,” Elegbeleye said.

Similarly, former Minister of Sports, Solomon Dalung, said Nigeria must treat World Cup qualification as a national project.

“The Super Eagles missing the World Cup repeatedly shows deeper administrative and structural issues. The financial consequences alone should force stakeholders to rethink planning and accountability,” Dalung said.

On the legal challenge before FIFA, NFF Secretary-General, Dr Mohammed Sanusi, confirmed that the matter was under review.

“We have submitted our petition and we are waiting for FIFA’s decision. The rules are clear on nationality and eligibility, and we believe the issues raised deserve careful consideration,” Sanusi said.

If FIFA rules in Nigeria’s favour, the Super Eagles could be reinstated into the intercontinental playoffs, restoring a pathway to qualification and access to guaranteed earnings of at least 15.75 billion naira.

Failure would confirm Nigeria’s eighth World Cup absence, with consequences ranging from lost revenue and reduced global visibility to diminished influence in international football.

With the 2026 World Cup set to deliver the highest financial rewards in FIFA history, stakeholders agree that Nigeria can no longer afford repeated absences from football’s biggest stage. 

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